Emirates Pilot Demand(Pilot Subscriber or Premium Access) Pilot Demand - Forecasts through 2025
Note: These rough calculations were made with each airlines order and delivery schedule up through 2020. After 2020 it became fairly unclear what those orders would be, so I just assumed Boeing’s 7% MiddleEast-East Asia Growth Rate and compared it in the graphs to a 0% growth rate after 2020 as an educated guess.
These estimates also assume no retirements, since I do not currently have this information. Please feel free to email me with it. It is important to note, this model assumes none of the aircraft options on the books are exercised. Only aircraft on a delivery schedule are incorporated into the tables. Its also important to note delivery schedules can be delayed and pushed back, as JetBlue has recently done. I hope the following information is helpful.
Each table includes what the estimated fleet number is for the start of the year, and then through scheduled aircraft delivery’s and retirements, what the end of year fleet size should be roughly. We can then apply the airlines pilot/aircraft ratio to know how many additional pilots are needed for the airline growth.
There were a few different projections of Emirates growth, the most conservative one I could find anticipated a little over 300 aircraft by 2020. Since its difficult to know what their aircraft retirement schedule will be, its difficult to know what their fleet size will be each year,but I’ve built the model to match this growth.
Pilot Hiring TableNumber of Pilots: 3973 --- Pilot/Aircraft Ratio: 15.8 --- Current Fleet Number: 251
Aircraft Order and Retirement Schedule
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Planned Hire Year
Current % Seniority From Bottom
Projected Upgrade Year: |