Delta Air Lines

Updated: 2017-01-17


Delta Air Lines Pilot Demand(Pilot Subscriber or Premium Access) Pilot Demand - Forecasts through 2025


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Picture of Delta Jet
By Aero Icarus of Flickr

Note: These rough calculations were made with each airlines order and delivery schedule up through 2020. After 2020 it became fairly unclear what those orders would be, so the website assumesĀ Boeing's domestic prediction of 1.4% fleet growth per year. You will notice the charts show both the 1.4% and 0 growth after 2020.

Note: Delta’s current pilot ratio is approximatly 16 as an average amongst its airline. These numbers assume this ratio, however I feel it will be unlikely for Delta to hire 16 additional pilots per aircraft. A more reasonable estimate would be 10-12.

It is important to note, this model assumes none of the aircraft options on the books are exercised. Only aircraft on a delivery schedule are incorporated into the tables. Its also important to note delivery schedules can be delayed and pushed back, as JetBlue has recently done. I hope the following information is helpful.

Each table includes what the estimated fleet number is for the start of the year, and then through scheduled aircraft delivery’s and retirements, what the end of year fleet size should be roughly. We can then apply the airlines pilot/aircraft ratio to know how many additional or less pilots are needed for the airlines growth for a given year. After this number we can add the number of mandatory retirements and come up with the estimated amount pilots the airline will need for airline growth and Pilot Attrition.



Pilot Hiring Table

Number of Pilots: 13658 --- Pilot/Aircraft Ratio: 16.1 --- Current Fleet Number: 850

Audries Aircraft Analysis


Industry Standard Staffing: 12416
Projected --> Overstaffed by : 1242 Pilots
Industry Average Staffing Ratio: 14.6

what does this mean?

Google Visualization API Sample

Aircraft Order and Retirement Schedule
 



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